11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences

Program Chair: Amy McGovern , Univ. of Oklahoma

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Sunday, 6 January 2013

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Registration Continues Through January 9
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Plenary Session
13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
8:30 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)
8:35 AM
Warm Welcome to Austin!

8:45 AM
Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

8:50 AM
"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
9:10 AM
"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers
9:30 AM
"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research
9:50 AM
"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response
10:10 AM
Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)
10:25 AM
Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 1
Application of AI to the Climate System
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
CoChair: Michael Richman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:00 AM
TJ1.1
Statistical Predictive Models for Seasonal Rainfall Anomalies over Sahel
Hamada S. Badr, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik and S. D. Guikema
11:15 AM
TJ1.2
Verifying the time-invariance assumption of statistically downscaled precipitation datasets for future climate
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, University of Oklahoma - NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon
11:45 AM
TJ1.4
Simulation Carbon Dioxide Flux over Two Maize Canopies (Irrigated and Rain-fed) Using Artificial Neural Networks
Babak Safa, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and T. J. Arkebauer, A. Suyker, S. Irmak, and Q. Zhu

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 1
Applications of data mining/knowledge discovery and improved understanding of large environmental science datasets
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Auroop R. Ganguly, Northeastern University, Boston, MA
1:45 PM
1.2
Data Prospecting – a new approach to address “big data” exploitation challenges in Earth Science?
Rahul Ramachandran, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Rushing, A. Lin, and K. S. Kuo
2:00 PM
1.3
Machine Learning Enhancement of Storm Scale Ensemble Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts
David John Gagne II, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern and M. Xue
2:15 PM
1.4
Applications of Data Mining to Supercell Tornadogenesis
Brittany Anne Dahl, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and B. T. Katona, B. Pirtle, A. McGovern, R. A. Brown, and L. J. Wicker

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session 1
AMS Committee on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science: Poster session
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
277
Curated Data Albums for Hurricane Case Studies
Rahul Ramachandran, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and H. Conover, M. McInery, A. Kulkarni, H. M. Goodman, B. T. Zavodsky, S. Braun, and B. Wilson


Themed Joint Poster Session
Application of AI to the Climate System: Poster session
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
CoChair: Michael Richman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
92
Modeling Atmospheric Temperature Profiles in the Arctic Regions
Young P. Yee, Mkey Technologies, Las Cruces, NM; and K. Y. Yee

Handout (1.6 MB)

93
Synoptic-Scale Weather Forcing of Surface Melt on West Antarctic Ice Shelves from 1987-2002
Chris Karmosky, Univ. of Tennessee, Martin, TN; and D. B. Reusch and D. J. Lampkin

95
Artificial Neural Network applied to classification of lightning discharge images
Diego Matos Guedes, Centro Universitário da FEI, Sao Bernardo do Campo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. B. B. Gin and R. A. C. Bianchi

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 10
Medium-range, Sub-seasonal and Seasonal-scale Forecast Techniques and Modeling for Energy Demand Part I
Location: Room 6A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation )
Cochairs: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; Stephen Bennett, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:30 PM
TJ10.3
4:45 PM
TJ10.4
A seamless system for medium range, subseasonal and seasonal probabalistic forecasts of energy demand
Judith A. Curry, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. Belanger, M. Jelinek, V. Toma, and P. Webster

5:00 PM
TJ10.5
Medium-Range Wind Power Ensemble Forecasting for Texas
Kristofer Y. Shrestha, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry, J. Belanger, J. Mittelman, J. Freedman, J. Zack, and P. Beaucage

5:15 PM
TJ10.6
Subseasonal predictability of regional wind power generation
Jake Mittelman, Georgia Institute of Techonology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry, K. Shrestha, and J. Belanger

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 2
Applications of AI to environmental science problems
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:45 AM
2.2
Extreme Learning Machines for Environmental Problems
Aranildo Rodrigues Lima Jr., Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and A. J. Cannon and W. W. Hsieh
9:15 AM
2.4
Novel Gust Front Detection with Polarimetric WSR-88D Using Neuro-fuzzy System
Yunsung Hwang, Atmospheric Radar Research Center, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. Y. Yu

9:30 AM
2.5
New Rotation Track Quality Control Techniques for a Multi-Year Climatology
Madison L. Miller, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan and T. M. Smith

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 21
Applying Machine Learning Techniques for Information Processing
Location: Room 11AB (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); and the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences )
Cochairs: V. Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:00 AM
TJ21.1
McIDAS-V, visualization and data analysis for Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership
William C. Straka III, Space Science and Engineering Center/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Jasmin, T. D. Rink, D. T. Lindsey, D. W. Hillger, S. D. Miller, and T. H. Achtor
11:15 AM
TJ21.2
Nowcast Expert System with the Social Network Weather-Reports in Japan
Kunihiro Naito, Weathernews Inc., Norman, OK; and J. Ikai, T. Hanyu, B. L. Cheong, and T. Y. Yu
11:30 AM
TJ21.3
Statistical Reconstruction of a 13.3 micron channel for VIIRS using Multisensor Data Fusion with application to Cloud-Top Pressure Estimation
Irina Gladkova, City College of New York, NOAA/CREST, New York, NY; and J. Cross III, P. Menzel, A. Heidinger, and M. Grossberg
11:45 AM
TJ21.4
Inter-agency Earth-Observation Integrated Analysis
Eric J. Miller, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Crowe, M. Yapur, R. Reining, B. Schmidt, V. Ries, C. Vadnais, M. R. Babcock, and J. Barrett

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Lunch Break

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 27
Medium-range, Sub-seasonal and Seasonal-scale Forecast Techniques and Modeling for Energy Demand Part 2
Location: Room 6A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; and the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences )
Cochairs: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; Stephen Bennett, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; Andrew E. Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS
3:30 PM
TJ27.1
Global Climate Change: An Energy Industry Perspective
Jon Davis, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL; and J. Darr and M. S. Russo
3:45 PM
TJ27.2
4:00 PM
TJ27.3
Arctic Sea Ice Predictability Beyond the Seasonal Scale
Philip W. Jones, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and C. M. Bitz, E. P. Chassignet, M. M. Holland, E. C. Hunke, W. Maslowski, and P. Posey
4:30 PM
TJ27.5
4:45 PM
TJ27.6
5:00 PM
TJ27.7
Earth System Prediction Capability Demonstration Goal #1 – Improved 1-6 Week Forecasting of Extreme Weather Related to Blocking Events – Initial Directions
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and W. Higgins, A. Kumar, M. Chen, R. M. Dole, J. Perlwitz, M. Hoerling, T. M. Hamill, K. Pegion, J. M. Brown, R. Bleck, S. Sun, M. Fiorino, and M. Peng
5:15 PM
TJ27.8

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 3
Applications of AI in numerical weather prediction, probabilistic predictions, and uncertainty estimates
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Alex J. Cannon, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC
10:45 AM
3.2
AMS AI Contest For 2014: Predicting Solar Radiation Using Ensemble Reforecasts
Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Gagne II, T. M. Hamill, and J. B. Basara
11:00 AM
3.3
11:15 AM
3.4
Investigating Seasonal Impacts on Clustering and Ensemble Down-selection
Jared A. Lee, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and S. E. Haupt and G. S. Young
11:30 AM
3.5
A Multi-Class Classification Scheme for Severe Weather Outbreaks
Andrew Edward Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and C. M. Shafer, M. Richman, C. A. Doswell III, and L. M. Leslie
11:45 AM
3.6
Recovering an Event Realization with a Genetic Algorithm
Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Annunzio and K. J. Schmehl

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 37
The Application of Artificial Intelligence in the Field of Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Cochairs: Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
1:30 PM
TJ37.1
Detection and nowcasting of convective turbulence using artificial intelligence techniques
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and G. Blackburn, J. A. Craig, F. McDonough, G. Meymaris, and R. D. Sharman
1:45 PM
TJ37.2
Probabilistic forecasting for isolated thunderstorms using a genetic algorithm: the DC3 campaign
Christopher J. Hanlon, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and G. S. Young, J. Verlinde, A. A. Small III, and S. Bose
2:00 PM
TJ37.3
Using a Random Forest to Predict Convective Initiation in SATCAST
D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams, J. Mecikalski, C. P. Jewett, J. R. Walker, and N. Bledsoe
2:15 PM
TJ37.4
Convective Initiation Forecasts Through the Use of Machine Learning Methods
Mark S. Veillette, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. Iskenderian, P. M. Lamey, and L. J. Bickmeier

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
3
Using Data Mining to Improve Our Understanding of the Connections between Health, the Environment, and Weather
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
Moderator: Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Panelists: Heather G. Basara, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD; Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM
Data Mining for Climate and Health: A Federal Perspective by John Balbus
4:15 PM
Spiders, Bots and Mining... oh my! by Heather Basara

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


93rd AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Registration Closes

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


AMS 93rd Annual Meeting Adjourns