Terms of Reference

Vision: Ecological Forecasts developed through public, private and academic partnerships are used to inform natural resource managers and health decision makers in the United States and abroad. This is a growing area of concern and importance, yet, this community is in its early phases.  The Committee on Ecological Forecasting Committee will facilitate dialogue amongst all sectors of the community. 

Mission:  To develop an ecological forecasting approach which engages and expands collaboration among federal, state, academic, private, and local partners and natural resource and public health decision makers and that will enable heretofore unrealized integration of physical data with biological data.  Ideally, this will lead to multi-agency, collaborative ecological forecasts, air and water quality modeling, and economic predictions of significant interest and value to natural resource managers, public health officials, and the general public. 

Committee Structure:  The six (6) to fifteen (15) Committee members will serve three year terms with extensions in some cases, possible to ensure proper rotations.  The Chairs or Co-Chairs will also serve three year terms.  Usually, the Committee will have two Co-Chairs, ideally one from the physical science side and one from biological or decision-making communities.  

Roles and Responsibilities:  Primary responsibilities of the Committee include the facilitation of discussions of the following (or other additional appropriate areas): 

  • Identify and prioritize topic (or outcomes) for ecological forecasting efforts based on identified user needs, scientific capacity, data availability, and supporting institutional infrastructure
  • Identify scientific and institutional gaps and suggest solutions
  • Identify and engage expertise for subject areas
  • Articulate private sector role and engage participants
  • Develop communication strategy for both within AMS structure and with academia, government agencies, media, and Congress.
  • Committee Chairs of Ecological Forecasting Committee participate as members of the BEST
  • Committee coordinates opportunities among other CWWCE boards such as the Board on Enterprise Communication.
  • The committee Chair(s), in coordination with the Chair of the BEST, is/are responsible for staffing and managing the committee. 
  • Committee members are responsible for their own committee-related expenses, including travel.
  • The committee will work with other AMS Boards and Committees as appropriate.

Meeting Frequency:   Committee meetings/forums will be held at least once per year at the AMS Annual Meeting.  Workgroup meetings will be held as necessary in order to meet workgroup deliverables and milestones.

Committee Membership:  The Committee will be comprised of select AMS Boards and Committees, drawing from Health and Environment, Modeling, Seasonal to Inter-annual, and will explore collaboration with Broadcast Meteorologists and others as appropriate.  The committee will include governmental (federal, state, local, international) academic, public health, private and non-governmental partners.