Table of Contents

33. The 2014 High Record of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent

The record maximum of Antarctic sea ice resulted chiefly from anomalous winds that transported cold air masses away from the Antarctic continent, enhancing thermodynamic sea ice production far offshore.

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32. Attribution of Exceptional Mean Sea Level Pressure Anomalies South of Australia in August 2014

It is likely that human influences on climate increased the odds of the extreme high pressure anomalies south of Australia in August 2014 that were associated with frosts, lowland snowfalls and reduced rainfall.

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31. Increased Risk of the 2014 Australian May Heatwave Due to Anthropogenic Activity

Anthropogenic activity has increased the risk of Australian heatwaves during late autumn similar to the 2014 event by up to 23 fold, compared to climate conditions under no anthropogenic influence.

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30. Contributors to the Record High Temperatures Across Australia in Late Spring 2014

The record warm Australian spring of 2014 would likely not have occurred without increases in CO2 over the last 50 years working in concert with an upper-level wave train.

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29. The Contribution of Anthropogenic Forcing to the Adelaide and Melbourne, Australia, Heat Waves of January 2014

Anthropogenic climate change very likely increased the likelihood of prolonged heat waves like that experienced in Adelaide in January 2014 by at least 16%. The influence for Melbourne is less clear.

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28. Increased Likelihood of Brisbane, Australia, G20 Heat Event Due to Anthropogenic Climate Change

Climate model simulations for 2014 indicate anthropogenic climate change very likely increased the likelihood of hot and very hot November days in Brisbane by at least 25% and 44% respectively.

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27. Extreme Rainfall in Early July 2014 in Northland, New Zealand--Was There an Anthropogenic Influence?

The risk of an extreme 5-day July rainfall event over Northland, New Zealand, such as was observed in early July 2014, has likely increased due to anthropogenic influence on climate.

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24. Anomalous Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in August 2014

The absence of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during August 2014 was apparently related to strong easterly wind anomalies induced by combined negative intraseasonal and Pacific decadal oscillation phases.

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23. Investigating the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Variability on the 2014 Hawaiian Hurricane Season

New climate simulations suggest that the extremely active 2014 Hawaiian hurricane season was made substantially more likely by anthropogenic forcing, but that natural variability of El Niño was also partially involved.

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21. The 2014 Hot, Dry Summer in Northeast Asia

Northeast Asia experienced a severe drought in summer 2014. Sea surface temperature forcing may have increased the risk of low precipitation, but model biases preclude reliable attribution to anthropogenic forcing.

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20. Human Contribution to the 2014 Record High Sea Surface Temperatures Over the Western Tropical And Northeast Pacific Ocean

CMIP5 models suggest that human influence has increased the probability of regional high SST extremes over the western tropical and northeast Pacific Ocean during the 2014 calendar year and summer.

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19. Anthropogenic Influence on the 2014 Record-Hot Spring in Korea

A comparison of observations and multiple global climate models indicates human influence has increased the chance of extreme hot springs in Korea such as the 2014 event by two to three times.

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18. The Deadly Himalayan Snowstorm of October 2014: Synoptic Conditions and Associated Trends

The Himalayan snowstorm of October 2014 resulted from the unusual merger of a tropical cyclone with an upper trough, and their collective changes under climate warming have increased the odds for similar events.

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17. The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers

Ensemble modelling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.

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16. Assessing the Contributions of East African and West Pacific Warming to the 2014 Boreal Spring East African Drought

Anthropogenic warming contributed to the 2014 East African drought by increasing East African and west Pacific temperatures, and increasing the gradient between standardized western and central Pacific SST causing reduced rainfall, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture.

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15. Drought in the Middle East and Central–Southwest Asia During Winter 2013/14

Of three identified proximate drought factors, climate change does not appear important for two. The third factor, western Pacific SSTs, exhibits a strong warming trend but attribution is an open question.

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14. The Contribution of Human-Induced Climate Change to the Drought of 2014 in the Southern Levant Region

A combined modeling and observational study suggests that the persistent rainfall deficit during the 2014 rainy season in southern Levant was made more likely due to anthropogenic climate change.

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13. Record Annual Mean Warmth Over Europe, the Northeast Pacific, and the Northwest Atlantic During 2014: Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence

According to CMIP5 models, the risk of record annual mean warmth in European, northeast Pacific, and northwest Atlantic regions--as occurred in 2014--has been greatly increased by anthropogenic climate change.

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10. Extreme Rainfall in the United Kingdom During Winter 2013/14: The Role of Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Change

Extreme winter rainfall in the United Kingdom becomes eight times more likely when the atmospheric circulation resembles winter 2013/14, whereas anthropogenic influence is only discernible in extremes with a shorter duration.

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8. Factors Other Than Climate Change, Main Drivers of 2014/15 Water Shortage in Southeast Brazil

Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is not found to be a major influence on the hazard, whereas increasing population and water consumption increased vulnerability.

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