Oregon Chapter
American Meteorological Society

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Meeting Minutes

18th Annual “What Will the Winter Be Like?” Meeting

October 16, 2010
Program Flyer

A standing room only / capacity crowd of 350 people descended on the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry (OMSI) Saturday morning in Portland. Attendees traveled from distances in excess of 100 miles in order to hear detailed forecasts for the upcoming winter from local and regional experts. Mark Nelsen, KPTV Fox-12 Chief Meteorologist gave a recap of last winter’s weather, followed by forecasts from Tyree Wilde, NOAA-National Weather Service WC Meteorologist, Portland, George Taylor, Applied Climate Services Climatologist, LLC, Corvallis, Oregon, Pete Parsons, Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist, Salem, Oregonand Kyle Dittmer, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission Hydrologist-Meteorologist who presented his forecasts via telephone from Germany.

With a moderate to strong La Nina well underway, the majority of experts at today’s annual forecast meeting predict a wetter and cooler than normal winter overall for Oregon. Snow pack in the Cascades is likely to be at or above normal this winter. In some analog (similar) years in the past, the Cascades have experienced near record snow amounts.

George Taylor, Applied Climate Services Climatologist, LLC, Corvallis, Oregon, says, “wet, wild and windy weather is in store for the coming winter.”

ete Parsons, Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist, Salem, Oregon says, “this winter is likely to be markedly different from last year. Parsons went on to say, “I would be surprised if we made it through this winter without seeing at least one arctic air mass and low elevation snow event.”

Tyree Wilde, NOAA-National Weather Service WC Meteorologist, Portland says, “wet, wet, wet this winter.”

Forecasters also noted that it has been 15 years since the last major windstorm to strike Oregon on December 12th 1995, which was also a La Nina winter that featured a record setting flood, arctic air and snow.

 

Bobby Corser, President of the Oregon Chapter of the AMS
Bobby Corser's opening presentation

Mark Nelsen, KPTV-12 Chief Meteorologist
Mark Nelsen's presentation

Tyree Wilde, NOAA-National Weather Service WC Meteorologist, Portland
Tyree Wilde's presentation

George Taylor, Applied Climate Services Climatologist, LLC, Corvallis, Oregon
George Taylor's presentation

Pete Parsons, Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist, Salem, Oregon
Pete Parson's presentation

Kyle Dittmer, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission Hydrologist-Meteorologist
Kyle Dittmer's presentation & Winter Forecast