Pictures courtesy of the National Weather Service, NASA and the NOAA Library

The Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process – The Second Interactive Forum

(1-2 August 2005, WAF/NWP Conference, Washington D.C.)

(Brought to you by the AMS Board for Operational Government Meteorologists and AMS Weather and Forecasting Committee)

Thanks to everyone for making the Second Forum on the Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process such a success. The summary of the proceedings can be found at the links below:

Session 1 – Reaching the goals stated in the First Forum on the Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process

· How do we add value to NWP Model Guidance? – Ken Reeves (Accu Weather) Facilitator

· How do we improve time management and task delegation? – Al Pietrycha (NWS Goodland, KS) Facilitator

· How do we improve communication within our profession and to external users? – Dr. Jim Moore (St. Louis University) Facilitator

· How do we increase the role of probabilistic forecasts within our profession and to external users? – Richard Grumm (NWS State College, PA) Facilitator

Session 2 – Cognitive Psychological Aspects of Expert Weather Forecasters

· Bridging the gap between theory and applications – Presented by Dr. David M. Schultz (CIMMS)

· Weather forecasting by humans – heuristics and decision making – Presented by Neil A. Stuart (NWS Wakefield, VA)

· The cognitive dimension of weather forecasting – Presented by Dr. Gary Klein (Klein and Associates Inc.)

· Additional notes from session 2

Session 3 – Future roles of the public and private sectors

· Public sector view – Presented by Dr. Ed Johnson (NWS Office of Strategic Planning and Public Policy)

· Private sector view – Presented by Elliot Abrams (Accu Weather)

· Academia view – Presented by Dr. Cliff Mass (University of Washington)

· Additional topics of discussion