DATASTREME ATMOSPHERE DAILY SUMMARY

Friday, 20 November 2009


00Z Weather Systems

The following highlights of the national weather have been extracted from the surface weather map for Thursday night:

MIDWEST STORM FINALLY ON THE MOVE -- Clouds and rain associated with a slow moving Midwestern storm spread eastward into the Northeast on Thursday evening. After a nearly four-day trip across Missouri, the storm finally accelerated to the north-northeast on Thursday. By evening, the storm's primary low-pressure center was located over Michigan's Upper Peninsula. An occluded front curved southeastward across the eastern Great Lakes and the Appalachians from the low-pressure center. Farther to the southeast, a secondary low pressure center that formed near the storm's point of occlusion over Georgia late Wednesday moved offshore and was located along the coast of the Carolinas near Wilmington, NC by Thursday evening.

Most of the precipitation associated with this large storm system as of late Thursday evening was to the east of the occluded front, extending across the Eastern Seaboard and the eastern Great Lakes. A few thunderstorms continued into late evening over the Middle Atlantic States, from Chesapeake Bay northward into the Delaware Valley of eastern Pennsylvania. Buffalo, NY received 1.49 inches of rain on Thursday, which represented a daily maximum precipitation record for the date.

The storm's primary low pressure center was forecast to take a track to the northeast across Ontario and Quebec on Friday, forced eastward by a cold front that was sweeping southeastward from northwest Ontario. By evening the low pressure center should have reached the lower St. Lawrence Valley of eastern Quebec. The frontal system accompanying this storm should move eastward across the eastern Lakes and New England, along with the precipitation associated with this storm and associated fronts. Precipitation totals of nearly one inch during the 24 hours ending Friday evening were forecast across northern Upstate New York and adjoining sections of New England.

PLEASANT WEATHER SPREADS ACROSS NATION'S MIDSECTION -- Except for a few clouds traveling eastward across the Plains, skies cleared across the nation's midsection on Thursday in the wake of the Midwestern storm. Several areas of high pressure were responsible for the return of tranquil weather. One area of high pressure was located across the Cumberland Plateau and Tennessee Valley in the Southeast. Farther to the west, high pressure was located over the Rockies and the high Plains as of Thursday evening. Some clouds associated with the remnants of a cold front were traveling across the northern Plains. Like the cold front, these clouds were beginning to dissipate as they approached the upper Midwest.

The area of high pressure located over the Southeast was expected to remain relatively stationary on Friday. The high-pressure ridge over the Rockies and the high Plains was forecast to spread eastward across the mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys by Friday evening. The eastward movement of this high should signal a return to more pleasant weather conditions for the start of the weekend than what the region experienced during much of this workweek with the cutoff storm.

SOGGY WEATHER ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST -- Rainshowers and thunderstorms had spread northeastward across coastal and southern sections of Texas on Thursday as one part of a two-part weather system that was evolving across the Lone Star State. Farther to the northwest and west, another area of rainshowers was moving across western and central sections of Texas as the other part of the system.

A surface low-pressure system that had developed over the eastern slopes of the southern Rockies in New Mexico late Wednesday traveled eastward across the Texas Panhandle on Thursday. By evening, this low- pressure center was located over southwestern Oklahoma. As the low pressure organized during its eastward travels, southeasterly winds strengthened and brought warm and humid air from the western Gulf of Mexico northward across Texas. A warm front developed along the boundary of this warm air.

Moderate to heavy rainshowers along with a cluster of thunderstorms continued into the late evening along the lower Texas Gulf coast north of the warm front.

The low-pressure system located over the Red River Valley of southern Oklahoma was expected to dissipate on Friday. However, farther to the south, a low-pressure center was forecast to develop along the western sections of the warm front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. An onshore flow of humid air from off the Gulf of Mexico should contribute to locally heavy precipitation totals in showers and thunderstorms. With sufficiently humid air flowing into coastal Texas, thunderstorms could develop across the region on Friday. Some of the thunderstorm cells could produce hail or even spawn a tornado. Twenty-four hour precipitation forecasts valid for Friday evening indicate that rainfall totals exceeding five inches could occur along the Texas coast between Corpus Christi and Galveston. Because of the anticipated heavy rain, flash flood watches were in effect along the Texas coast.

NORTHWEST BRACES FOR MORE STORMY WEATHER -- Coastal and low elevation rain along with mountain snow had spread across western Washington on Thursday evening in association with a warm front that was ahead of another approaching storm. Earlier during the predawn hours of Thursday, a cold front had reached Washington's Olympic Peninsula, but dissipated as it moved inland. This cold front had been associated with a storm that reached the central British Columbia coast.

By early Thursday evening, the storm total rainfall commencing early Wednesday morning that was associated with the series of storms exceeded four inches across the Olympic Peninsula. Snowfall totals for the storm were as much as a foot in Washington's North Cascades and to five inches in northern Idaho. Early in the storm event, wind gusts of 107 mph were reported at Hurricane Ridge in Olympic National Park.

The new storm affecting the Pacific Northwest early Thursday evening was located 300 to 400 miles off the coast of British Columbia's Vancouver Island. A warm front accompanying this storm had moved into western Washington during the afternoon. A cold front trailing southwestward from this storm was approximately 300 miles of the Washington and Oregon coasts.

The storm's low pressure center was forecast to travel to the northeast crossing northern Vancouver Island before reaching the Coast Mountains of British Columbia on Friday. The trailing cold front should move onshore along the Washington and Oregon coasts during the predawn hours of Friday. By evening, northern sections of the cold front were to have moved across the interior Northwest, reaching the western slopes of the mountains of northern Idaho. Southern sections of the cold front were to travel eastward and southward, moving into Nevada and across northern and central sections of California.

Between two and three inches of precipitation were forecast for coastal sections of Washington, Oregon and northern California including the western slopes of the Coastal Ranges during the 24 hours ending late Friday afternoon. Flood warnings and watches were in effect across western Washington through early Saturday because of this anticipated rain falling on already saturated ground. Very cold air aloft in the westerly winds following the frontal passage would result in unstable atmospheric conditions and some isolated thunderstorms along the coast on Friday.

The arrival of the warm front caused snow levels to rise to 4500 feet across the northern and central Cascades of Washington late Thursday. However, cold air following behind the cold front should cause snow levels to drop to between 2000 and 3000 feet by late Friday. Therefore, a winter storm watch was posted for the northern Washington Cascades from Friday afternoon through late Friday night, as up to 18 inches of snow could fall. Winter weather advisories were in effect from mid Friday morning through early Saturday morning for the Cascades of Oregon and southern Washington. With snow levels falling to approximately 3000 feet, up to a foot of snow was anticipated. Farther south, winter storm warnings were posted for the Sierras in California.

In addition to the heavy rain and snow, the cold front that will approach the coast will be accompanied by strong winds. High wind, gale and storm warnings were in effect along the coast and the coastal waters of Washington and Oregon. Inland, wind advisories were posted across sections of northern California and the Intermountain West.

The recent heavy snow, combined with warm air and strong winds has maintained dangerous avalanche conditions across the mountains of western Washington. Consequently, an avalanche warning was continued through Friday morning for Cascade Crest and the Olympic Mountains.

UPPER AIR -- Both the 500 and 300-mb charts for 00Z Friday continued to show the large counterclockwise circulation feature associated with the cold air column extending upward through the troposphere from the Midwestern storm. Like the surface storm center, the centers of the upper-tropospheric height troughs had shifted to the northern Great Lakes.

TEMPERATURE EXTREMES ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL US -- Thursday's lowest temperature was 2 degrees below zero at Laramie, WY. Thursday's highest temperature was 86 degrees at Miami (Kendall-Tamiami), FL and Indio, CA.

ALASKAN WEATHER -- A cold arctic air mass had spread across much of mainland Alaska on Thursday, accompanying a ridge of high pressure that was centered over the central interior sections of the state. Midafternoon temperatures were below zero across the interior sections of the state. Partly to mostly cloudy skies were found across this region. Some clouds were moving northward across the Panhandle and southeastern Alaska due to a large area of low pressure with multiple low-pressure centers that remained across the northern Gulf of Alaska. Rain and snow fell across the Panhandle on Thursday. A cold front powerful storm traveling to the northeast across the western Bering Sea was responsible for clouds, fog, rain and windy weather conditions across the western Aleutians. Shemya reported wind gusts to 67 mph.

The lowest overnight temperature in Alaska on Thursday morning was 46 degrees below zero at Bettles, while the mid-afternoon highest statewide temperature was 45 degrees at Atka.

HAWAIIAN WEATHER -- Fresh to strong easterly trade winds prevailed across the Aloha State on Thursday afternoon because of a large surface high pressure system was passing approximately 800 miles to the north of Honolulu. In addition to the strong winds, low cumuliform clouds and scattered showers embedded in the trade wind flow were traveling westward and affecting the usual windward and mountainous locations on the islands. Some showers were carried across to the leeward sides of several smaller islands because of the strength of the trades. The trades should decrease slightly over the weekend as the high-pressure cell moves to the northeast of the islands and weakens. A decrease in the precipitable water, or the bulk water vapor content in an air column, across the islands, together with an increase in the strength of the trade inversion, should limit the development of convective clouds and showers.

PUERTO RICO/US VIRGIN ISLANDS WEATHER -- Skies were variably cloudy across Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques and the Virgin Islands late Thursday night as scattered to numerous rainshowers along with isolated thunderstorms continued across the region. These showers and thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and continued into the late evening. Radar-estimated precipitation totals through mid evening ranged from two to four inches across sections of Puerto Rico, including Old San Juan. While most of the precipitation had moved offshore to the west northwest by late evening, St. Thomas and St. Croix, along with some locations across Puerto Rico continued to experience shower activity. A weak surface trough of low pressure located across the Anegada Passage east of the Virgin Islands was responsible for the shower activity. Surface winds across the islands were relatively light and generally from the east. The trough was expected to travel to the west-northwest during the early morning hours of Friday, resulting in a continuation of the scattered showers and thunderstorms across the islands and surrounding waters. With sufficient humidity available, daytime heating and local effects should result in the typical afternoon development of convective shower and thunderstorm activity.

EYE ON THE TROPICS -- No organized tropical cyclones were detected across the North Atlantic or the eastern North Pacific basins on Thursday evening; no cyclone development was anticipated through Saturday.

A REMINDER -- To All DataStreme Participants:

Next week is Thanksgiving Week recess. The DataStreme Atmosphere Daily Summary will contain only the selected Historical Weather Events for each day during Thanksgiving Week. Current weather data will be available on the website as usual. If you are looking for an alternative description of daily weather, you could try: http://www.usatoday.com/weather/default.htm (USA Today) or http://www.weather.com/newscenter/fcstsummary.html (The Weather Channel). The DataStreme Atmosphere Daily Summaries and Current Weather Studies files will resume Monday, 30 November 2009.

Have a Happy and Safe Thanksgiving!

Ed Hopkins

HISTORICAL WEATHER EVENTS - 20 November

From the files of the Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO and Intellicast

21 November

22 November


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Prepared by Edward J. Hopkins, Ph.D., email hopkins@meteor.wisc.edu
© Copyright, 2009, The American Meteorological Society.