Chapter News
November 2004


ARKANSAS

Meeting Minutes
Arkansas Chapter of the AMS
November 2, 2004

The second Chapter meeting for the Fall, 2004 season was held on November 2nd. The meeting convened at 700 PM at the National Weather Service Forecast Office in North Little Rock with 9 members and guests present.

Chapter President Chris Buonanno informed the group that it was time to submit nominations for chapter officers for 2005. Nominations will close November 15th, and ballots will then be sent out to all current members. Chris also mentioned that the Chapter Christmas Party would be held on Thursday, December 16th at 6:30 PM.

The program for the evening was provided by Chapter member John Lewis. John is a senior forecaster with the National Weather Service in North Little Rock. His presentation was on the "Forecasting Game." Forecasters have a lot to consider when predicting future weather conditions. Model data can give some idea of what may happen, but factors such as terrain (i.e. Ozark and Ouachita Mountains of northern and western Arkansas) can affect the timing of approaching systems (i.e. such as the intrusion of cold air in the Winter). The presentation focused on how the forecast is prepared, with a look at a few cases where pattern recognition (i.e. accurately reading the models) and knowledge of the terrain as well as situational awareness proved to be very beneficial in providing a high quality and accurate forecast.

During and after the presentation, the group participated in a question and answer session.

Then, light refreshments were served and the meeting adjourned at 815 PM.---Newton Skiles.


CHICAGO

Chicago Chapter of the American Meteorological Society held a joint meeting with the Northern Illinois University American Meteorological Society Student Chapter on Tuesday, November 2, 2004.

Two presentations were provided by Northern Illinois University. Jefferey S. Johnson, a graduate student of the Department of Geography/Meteorology from Northern Illinois University in DeKalb, Illinois gave the first presentation. Mr. Johnson's presentation was titled "Geographical Variations in Jet Contrail Coverage Across the United States During the 2000-2002 Period." Data for this study was compared to a previous study that utilized contrail data for 1977 through 1979.

Exhaust pollutants from high altitude jets can damage the ozone layer and reduce visibility. The exhaust can also damage or destroy natural clouds. The contrails produced by jet aircraft are artificial clouds which can have an influence on surface temperatures. The contrail clouds produce a higher albedo which reduces daytime temperature maximums. The contrails also produce an increase in night time minimum temperatures. The increase in night time temperature is more prevalent than the decrease in day time temperature. The lower maximum temperatures combined with higher minimum temperatures reduce the daily temperature range.

Warm, moist air is injected into the cold ambient environment at jet flight levels. The exhaust from the jet engines provide abundant condensation nuclei and enhance the contrail formation process. The contrails occur at cirrus levels, in upper atmospheric conditions between 11 and 13 kilometers.

Infrared satellite imagery has allowed for the study of contrails at night. The study utilized data from the mid-season months of January, April, July and October. Six satellite images per day were used for the study (a combination of visible and infrared). In addition to studying the three year period of 2000 through 2002, specific periods such as the "super contrail outbreak" of April 5, 2000 and the September 11 through September 13, 2001 period were highlighted. During the "super outbreak" of April 5, 2000, some of the contrails were found to be up to 500 miles long. During the September 11 through September 13, 2001 period, the lack of contrails due to the grounding of all commercial and private aircraft was quite evident. It is estimated that a 1 degree Fahrenheit increase is surface temperature in North America was realized due to the reduction of jet contrails during the three day period.

A comparison of contrail data from 1977-79 and 2000-02 revealed that a 220% increase in contrails has occurred since the original study. This 220% increase in contrails coincides with a 214% increase in air miles flown since 1979. There are now many more high altitude flights than there were in the 1970's. Atmospheric changes are also occurring at flight altitudes near the tropopause. The increased contrail cloud cover is contributing to the overall increase in cloud cover over North America.

The second presentation, titled "Climatology of the Nocturnal Low-Level Jet at the Southern Great Plains" was presented by Dr. Jie Song of the Meteorology program of the Department of Geography at Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, Illinois. Previous studies on this topic had been completed by Blackadar in 1957, Holton in 1967 and Uccelini in 1980.

The nocturnal wind maxima in the lowest few kilometers of the atmosphere accounts for roughly 1/3 of the moisture flux into the continental United States.

The observation site was in the Walnut River Watershed in southern Kansas. Three remote sensing sites were located within the watershed. Each site had a sodar, a profiler and a meteorological monitoring site. The sodars provided measurements from 10 meters to 200 meters at 5 meter intervals. The profilers provided data from 100 meters to 5 kilometers at 200 meter intervals. Wind speed and direction were the primary parameters.

The analysis of data from 1997 through 2002 was restricted to night time, between 0200 and 1200 UTC (11 hours each night). The low level jet maximum was divided into four categories based upon wind speed ranging from 10 meters per second to 20 meters per second. The data revealed that the southerly low level jet occurred nearly 3 times more frequently than the northerly jet. The low level jet was found to occur on 67% of all nights with 72% of the low level jets having a southerly component. The southwest wind direction dominates the low level jet.

The speed of the low level jet is higher in the cold season as compared to the warm. The height of the low level jet was found to be 100 to 200 meters higher for strong jets as compared to weaker ones. The jet was also found to be approximately parallel to sea level. The peak times for the low level jet appears to be at 11 p.m. and 2 a.m., with the 2 a.m. peak being more prevalent.

The southerly jet lasts longer during the warm season as compared to the cold season, however the jet is stronger (speeds faster) during the cold season.------Mark T. Carroll.


COOK COLLEGE - RUTGERS UNIVERSITY

Meteorology Club Meeting #3
November 16, 2004
ENR 223 (after skywarn training)

---Ariana Shah.


DELAWARE/PHILADELPHIA

American Meteorological Society Meeting
West Chester University, West Chester PA
Wednesday, November 10, 2004
7:00PM to 9:30PM

Attendance
Rob Guarino- President Local AMS
Dean D Davison- Vice President Local AMS

and 77 others

Presentations

John D Moore- Sea Scholars. COSEE

Mr. John D Moore gave a presentation about his trip from Hawaii to Oregon on a Research USNS Ship. On the trip, he studied many aspects of oceanography and meteorology. It was difficult to be selected and it shows an aspect of teachers you hardly ever see. John D Moore is also an AMS LIT/AERA and does much Research. He also is our LOCAL AMS Chapter Education Committee Chair.

Alan Cope- NWS Hurricanes Floods and Fronts.

Alan showed how fronts during this hurricane season have focused many of the flooding events. Showed analysis of tornadoes spawned by the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne. Alan noted that almost all tropical systems in the US this summer had a front west of the system.

Gary Szatkowski- MIC NWS (WINTER OULOOK 2004-2005)

Gary took a look at data from last year and how it compares to other seasons. Focus was on indices such as the AO, NAO, ENSO, etc.

This winter shapes up like this: Below Normal Temps Near Normal Precipitation
More Snow Vs Rain

ROB GUARINO AND DEAN D DAVISON PRESS WEATHER AWARENESS AT LOCAL WALMART

In Junction with WALMARTS SAFTEY month, Local Chapter President and FOX 29 Chief Meteorologist , and Vice President Dean D Davison Hit the Lumberton Walmart in Lumberton NJ to Give Severe weather information out to the Public and WALMART Associates. It was a great turnout and mny lumberton residents showed up to meet with rob and dean to understand more about severe weather. These residents of Lumberton were hit hard by over 9" of rain in that township alone and with the 13.2 " of rain in Tabernacle( recorded by Dean D Davison , 13 yr SKYWARN SPOTTER and LOCAL AMS VP)in July 12/13 2004. This was a topic of discussion of this day as well as the upcoming winter. At all it was a huge success.---Dean D Davison.


DENVER/BOULDER

The Denver/Boulder AMS November meeting featured Kevin Stewart, a registered professional engineer with the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District in Denver. Mr. Stewart manages the District's Information Services and Flood Warning Program, and chairs the National Hydrologic Warning Council. His District responsibilities include overseeing the operation and maintenance of an area-wide ALERT system consisting of approximately 170 real-time reporting stations. Before joining the District staff in 1984, he spent 3 years with an engineering company in Lakewood, Colorado and 5 years as a floodplain manager for the State of Iowa where he served as the FEMA state coordinator for National Flood Insurance Program.

With his expertise in flood policies, Mr. Stewart offered AMS members and non- members alike a wealth of information about preparation and response to floods. He introduced members to the functions of the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District (UDFCD). For example, UDFCD's floodplain management program is responsible for preventing new flood damage potential from being introduced into 100-year floodplains while encouraging the utilization of non-structural methods of flood damage mitigation. Along with the management of floodplains, UDFCD has funded a local flood warning program for the past 26 years that provides early flood detection, decision support and notification services for District local governments. An important component of the program is the ALERT system mentioned above that provides real-time measurements of rainfall, stream and reservoir water levels, and weather data from 17 mesonet stations. UDFCD uses this information, along with daily weather forecasts to assist local governments with anticipating and responding to potential flood threats.

In addition to Mr. Stewart's talk, the Denver/Boulder AMS has been involved with an weather education initiation project through the St.Vrain Valley school district. It has been noted that the weather education in this district has been hampered by lack of funding, knowledge of basic meteorology and the meteorological tools to apply to the classroom and weather learning experience (such as maps, meteorological instruments, etc..) Sandra Laursen from CIRES at the University of Colorado has put together a program to get these tools in the teachers hands. The purpose is to educate the teachers and put the right tools in place so that they can properly learn and pass on this knowledge to the students. This work aims to develop a higher meteorological knowledge in our community and possibly strike the interest of future atmospheric scientists.

Recently, AMS members helped Ms. Laursen to produce a case study for the St.Vrain Valley school district teachers. Wendy Absire, Josh Hacker, Francois Vandenberghe, and chapter president Ben Hendrickson served as "roving meteorologists" to answer questions and teach the teachers the case study we produced. This was held on the University of Colorado campus at the CIRES building for 30 teachers. The Denver/Boulder chapter intends to continue this work.---Genevieve Maricle.


DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

Chapter members and guests gathered 15 November 2004 at The Barking Dog Restaurant in Bethesda MD. Following a short business meeting, guest speaker Dave Hoadley gave an exciting talk on storm tracking and chasing techniques he has developed based experiences during his years as a storm chaser.

Chapter Vice Chairperson Jason Samenow conducted the short business meeting. Jason stated: Guest speaker Dave Hoadley, the founder of Storm Track magazine, has over 47 years of storm chasing experience on the Great Plains. He is a weather enthusiast not a trained meteorologist. Over this time he has developed techniques for storm chasing, has shared his techniques with NWS forecasters thru his speaking engagements, gave a presentation to the Weather Channel in 1994, and has written numerous articles on storm chasing. Dave has also taken many photos -- one of which was used for the recently issued United States Postal Service (USPS) cloud stamps.

Dave started casing storms as a teenager in Bismarck ND. He got interested when, while at the movies as a kid in Bismarck, a big thunderstorm came thru town and his dad drove him around after the movie. The houses were dark and power lines were down. The strength and majesty of storm, the feel of wind in his face, and the beauty of sky hooked him. In those days there were no weather satellites, so he used facsimiles of upper air (WEFAX) products/analysis, and using the tornado boxes drawn on Weather Depiction Charts. It took years of storm chasing to develop his technique of pattern recognition. The forecast, pretty low tech hand analysis, it takes one hour. Dave stated that the technique is roughly 74 % reliable for picking small areas in which at least one tornado can be expected to occur.

As a young man, Dave was in the US Army assigned to G2/Intelligence. Even then he was a weather enthusiast so he was excited when his first assignment out of Intel school was to Ft Riley KS. The assignment location gave him the opportunity to indulge his desire to be a storm chaser. This was in the 1960s, before the implementation of the Interstate road system, so Dave spent a lot of time on dirt roads.

Dave picture of cumulonimbus mammatus clouds, taken during one of his storm chases, was used in the USPS cloud stamp series. He said that negotiations for the Cloud Stamp series took six years. Almost all of the photos are from amateurs, people at the right place at the right time.



Dave's goal is to record/photograph the entire life of every storm he sees. He made a video tape containing a 20 year summary of his storm chasing -- the tape is available for purchase his webpage (http://www.stormtrack.org).---Lauraleen O'Connor.


HOUSTON

November Minutes

Our November meeting was held at a local television station, KPRC, Houston's NBC affiliate, on Thursday, the 18th. Chief Meteorologist, Frank Billingsley, was gracious enough to allow our group of over 30 to witness the live 6 o'clock newscast. After the show, we convened for our meeting where Mr. Billingsley discussed his career; from his early days as a journalist-turned-weatherman to his daily KPRC responsibilities.

One main topic that was brought up was how effectively (or ineffectively) television communicates possibly life-threatening weather hazards. Florida's disastrous hurricane season was one example used by a member of how television was quick to jump on the wagon during live land-falling coverage, but was just as quick to back away from the post-devastation coverage. The cons were that the aftermath should hold just as much weight as the hurricane's forecasted track and landfall. The opinion of a few in the group was that the news crews backed away once the sensationalism died, or once a hurricane made landfall and became extra-tropical. The pros were basically backed by the understanding of TV's basic priorities as a competing business in a very competitive market; ratings over all else!

The fact that 'what drives business is not always conducive to the public's safety' and that 'people will ultimately do what they want to anyway, regardless of what warnings are communicated', were the two "common ground" statements brought up through the discussion. The meeting adjourned after an hour and the group was given a personal tour of the station by Mr. Billingsley and his on-air companion, the ever-popular weather pooch, "Radar".---Patrick Blood.


MILLERSVILLE UNIVERSITY

Chapter News - November

At the meeting on MU-AMS meeting on Wednesday November 3, 2004, we had two representatives from AccuWeather, Inc. come and speak to us about their company. One was, 2003 Millersville meteorology graduate, John Feerick, and the other was Dave Dombek. They presented a talk on the history of AccuWeather, their clients, and the different forecasts the AccuWeather puts together. This meeting was very beneficial to anyone who is interested in the forecasting aspect of meteorology. At the MU-AMS meeting on November 17, 2004, seniors, Angela Rowe and Courtney Hanna, presented their research project that they completed during their summer internships. Angela Rowe's research was titled "Estimating Hail Size Using Polarimetric Radar". She was part of the REU program in Norman Oklahoma, and worked with two mentors from the National Severe Storms Laboratory. Courtney Hanna's researched was titled "A Study of Severe Weather Prior to Significant Tornado Occurrences". She was also working in Norman, Oklahoma over the summer with the ORISE program. She worked with two mentors from the Storm Prediction Center. Following their presentations we were able to watch some of their tornado footage that they witnessed this summer.---Courtney Hanna.


NORTH FLORIDA

General Meeting Minutes
November 18, 2004

President Chris Bennett called the meeting to order at 7:35 p.m. The following executive members were present: President: Chris Bennett, Vice -President: Geoff Wagner, Treasurer: Cerese Albers, Secretary: Robert Banks, and Past-President: Clark Evans. Approximately 25 members were present including the executive board. The meeting began with Chris opening the meeting with an overview.

Treasurer's Report

Treasurer Cerese Albers gave a report on the current financial status of the chapter and encouraged members to pay their dues as soon as possible and that only cash can be accepted for payment. She announced her committee's next meeting time which is Monday, November 22 at 6:30pm and noted that pizza and sodas will be at the meeting. Cerese told the chapter that the chapter's website was currently renewed and that spring fundraising activities were planned in 2005.

Banquet Committee Involvement

A need was expressed by President Bennett for the general membership to step up and help out in a committee that will plan the chapter's annual banquet. The banquet is tentatively set for April 1st, 7th, or 8th. Also, the executive board will be announcing a list of possible guest speakers shortly.

November - Outreach Month

President Bennett announced that the chapter is deeming November 2004, an outreach month where the chapter really gets out and lends a helping hand to the community.A canned food and clothing drive is underway through the ECHO food bank and will continue until the last week of classes. He also mentioned that there would be more "themed" months to come in the next year to try and reach our goals while making the chapter fun.

Report from Science and Education Committee

Past-President Clark Evans gave a brief synopsis of what occurred at his last committee meeting. Florida High School will start the first K-12 AMS local chapter shortly with the help of our own chapter. Also, training for a Science Olympiad was previously attended by a few of our chapter members. Coming in the next few months will be presentations at Chiles High School (November 30, December 1), Madison County schools (December 3) where they will be teaching disabled children, and Fairview's Science Olympiad. Clark mentioned that there will be plenty more presentations and science fairs to help with in 2005 and to check the chapter website for more info.

December Social Events and Tailgating

Vice-President and Chair of the Programs Committee, Geoff Wagner, announced the idea of tailgaiting for the Florida-Florida State game on Saturday. He said that the chapter would provide chips, hotdogs, and soda and that the event would start at noon outside the Love Building. Geoff also tried to gather interest for a seasonal gift giving social that would have a $5 cap on the gift exchange. This event would be the Friday night during the last week of classes.

Other General Information Discussed

President Chris Bennett informed the membership again of the currently renewed chapter website at www.northflams.org and that all information including chapter minutes, etc. is posted to this source for easy viewing by everyone. Also, Chris announced that the local chapter will not be holding a December general meeting due to the end of the Fall semester.

Guest Speaker

Vice-President Geoff Wagner announced our guest speaker for the night. He is Rick Lusher, an employee of Dr. Paul Ruscher in the EXPLORES! Program in the Department of Meteorology at FSU. Mr. Lusher spoke to the chapter about what EXPLORES! and Realm projects are and how they help communities and schools. Both projects help Florida schools in learning about the weather and how to collect data.

Next Meeting

TBA. Sometime in late January 2005.

Adjournment

The meeting was adjourned at 8:10 PM.

The above minutes are a true and correct reflection of the November 18, 2004 meeting.---Robert Banks.


OMAHA-OFFUTT

The Omaha-Offutt chapter of the AMS held its November meeting on December 2, 2004, at the Greek Islands restaurant in Omaha. There were 61 members and guests in attendance.

At 7:08 PM chapter President Jeremy Wesely called the business meeting to order.

Recording Secretary John Roth read the minutes from the October meeting. A motion to approve the minutes was made by Randy Falzgraf and seconded by Fawn Morley, and the minutes were accepted without change.

Treasurer Karen Harder-Sittel presented the treasurer's report. The total number of paid memberships for the year was up to 43.

Phil Johnson of the education committee reported that members had been reviewing material to make short presentations at the Omaha Children's Museum as special events come up. The committee was beginning to work on the long term goal of helping the museum develop permanent weather exhibits, and was looking for ideas on educating youngsters. The committee was planning for this year's career fair, to be held February 8. It has been approved to review applications for AMS minority scholarships; there was one candidate so far. The next committee meeting was scheduled for February 8, in conjunction with the career fair. Also, extra people were needed for judging at the King Science Center Magnet School Science Fair on December 9.

Gordon Brooks, from Weather Explorers Post 999, updated the chapter on its activities. They meet at the Bellevue Library a couple of times a month. At the meetings they have discussions, hear from guest speakers, play game shows, and once they observed a flyover of the international space station. This year's meetings were to start in January. Gordon had been talking with people from the Valley NWS office and local TV stations about speaking. He thanked those present who spoke last year.



Old business:
Jeremy announced that the monthly forecast contest was resuming, and that forms for the contest were available. The winner, announced at the next meeting, would receive a $5.00 coupon for their meal. Only paid chapter members would be eligible to participate.

New business:

The Omaha-Offutt chapter was selected as AMS chapter of the year. Jeremy thanked everyone involved in making the chapter a success.

Jeremy updated the chapter's abstract for the national AMS meeting and resubmitted it. He asked for a show of hands of people who were planning to attend the national meeting in January.

The Air Force Weather Agency's welcome briefing will include a representative of the AMS chapter. Maj Jennifer Roman has volunteered to be the representative.

With no more new business, a motion to adjourn the business meeting was made by Fawn Morley and seconded by Joe Hanser, and the meeting was adjourned at 7:25 PM.



Guest Speaker:
The guest speaker for the evening was Greg Carbin, mesoscale forecaster/meteorologist at the Storm Prediction Center. His talk was "Top Ten Weather Memories of 2004". The ten events, in chronological order, were
  1. Early 2004 - Tornado Drought. Though this is historically a lax time of the year for tornadoes, the period from the end of 2003 into early 2004 was unusual, with no tornado reports at all from November 27 through January 16, and only one in a 50 day stretch.
  2. January-February 2004 - Record Snow in Eastern Nebraska. A series of snowstorms in late January and early February resulted in a record snow depth of 26 inches in Omaha, with 5 days setting daily snowfall records.
  3. March 16 2004 - Baltimore Water Taxi Capsizes. Gusty winds, stronger than forecast, were associated with a strong cold front moving across Maryland and northern Virginia.
  4. April 20 2004 - Peru/Utica IL F3 Tornado. This tornado was difficult to forecast, as it occurred in an area that was forecast to be unfavorable for severe weather.
  5. May 2004 Tornadoes - A Study in Contrast. During the first half of the month there were only 82 tornado reports, which is less than normal, but during the second half of the month there were 409 reports. A mid-month pattern change with a trough in the western U.S. was responsible.
  6. June-August 2004 - Wildfires in Alaska. The fires were the result of a persistent blocking ridge over Alaska during the period, with unusually warm temperatures. 1.7 million acres were burned.
  7. August 30 2004 - TS (Hurricane) Gaston Flooding. Parts of central Virginia received 10-12 inches of rain. The area around Richmond received the worst flooding.
  8. 9. and 10. August-September 2004 - Hurricanes, Floods, Tornadoes. Four major hurricanes hit the coasts in Florida during these two months, causing extensive damage. Flooding was also widespread during September, affecting mainly the area from western North Carolina to western Virginia to western through northeastern Pennsylvania. August and September also set records for tornadoes, with 173 and 247, respectively, 292 of them associated with tropical systems.
---John Roth.


SACRAMENTO

The chapter held a meeting on Thursday, November 18th and featured Bill Mork, the California State Climatologist as the guest speaker. Mr. Mork presented an overview of the climatic impact of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon on California's weather. He also gave an outlook for the rest of the cool season in California based on the continued development of weak to moderate El Nino conditions in the equatorial Pacific. California receives nearly all of its rainfall in the cool season, primarily from October through April and the ENSO phenomenon can have a big impact on rainfall, especially in Southern California. Historically, weak to moderate El Nino conditions have not produced a discernable trend in California's rainfall pattern, except perhaps for favoring slightly above normal precipitation in Southern California. Bill did note that Southern California has already received significant rainfall this fall, especially for so early in the season. In fact, Los Angeles set a record for precipitation in October. The El Nino conditions are continuing to mature in the equatorial Pacific with a peak expected in January or February. The outlook calls for above normal precipitation over the southern tier of the U.S., including Southern California, mainly from January through April 2005.



Bill also shared his experiences with several of the bigger storms that hit California during his career, including the big floods of 1986 and 1997, where some watersheds in the Sierra Nevada Mountains received in excess of 30 inches of rainfall in less than one week duration. Bill reflected on changes in forecast operations during his tenure at the California Department of Water Resources' (DWR) Division of Flood Management. The most notable improvements were the introduction of an orographic precipitation aid, developed by Owen Rhea based on an orographic model Dr. Rhea developed as part of his graduate thesis. This aid allowed inputs of various meteorological parameters such as wind and moisture at various levels and output estimates of precipitation. Bill highlighted that the aid provided excellent guidance for the 1997 storm. In 1994, the California DWR began a unique partnership with the National Weather Service's California-Nevada River Forecast Center (CNRFC) when they occupied a joint facility and Bill has enjoyed collaborating with the meteorologists at the CNRFC. Bill also experienced the introduction of the World Wide Web during the 1990s and noted that he is able to brief himself in on the synoptic situation from home on the weekends allowing for a smoother Monday morning transition.



On behalf of the club, the local chapter president Alan Haynes presented Bill with a gift acknowledging his contributions to the AMS. He received a ball cap with the letters "AMS" embroidered on the front and "Sacramento Chapter" embroidered on the back. Bill has spoken to the local chapter on several occasions over the years and is expecting to retire in 2005.

Upcoming meetings in January and February will feature "A Closer Look at a Flooding Thunderstorm in Sacramento on September 19, 2004", presented by John Juskie of the National Weather Service and "Climbing Mt Kilimanjaro", presented by Steve Goldstein of the National Weather Service.---Alan Haynes.


SOUTHEAST ARIZONA

The November 30th meeting of the Southeast Arizona Chapter of the American Meteorological Society was attended by about 22 members and guests. Our guest speaker was Dr. Roger Pielke, Colorado State Climatologist and visiting professor from Colorado State University. Roger spoke about expanding the concept of human caused climate change. He went into great depth about how the climate system and human disturbance of the climate system is much more complicated and multi-dimensional than commonly assumed, which may make skillful future prediction of the climate impossible. The hydrologic cycle and global averaged temperature have been shown to be increasing. An important item to take note of is that there is a lack of spatial representativeness of temperature and, at least in initial studies, maximum/minimum temperature sensors (MMTS) recording temperature data for the climate network were poorly located. Land use changes in the past 200 years have greatly impacted the local climate in many locations. Another issue impacting climate prediction is the behavior of snow and sea ice is much different that what models are predicting or what is being reported. There has been no clear cut reduction in sea-ice cover. For more information on this topic please reference the following website: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/index.html.

A more in-depth look at the articles referenced in this presentation can be found at: http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications.shtml.---Dawn Fishler.


TEXAS A&M UNIVERSITY

Tuesday, November, 9th 2004 meeting at Texas A&M Universtiy.

President Zachary Glenn welcomed the group to the meeting.

Vice President Justin Horne spoke about up coming trip to the NSSL which will be taken in March.

Secretary Roger Gass gave a recap on the October meeting and spoke about time and place to take the group picture for the Aggie Land (Texas A&M's year book).

Treasure Brady Taylor spoke about new shirts that were for sale and sticker sales.

Social Chair Keri Turner spoke about intramurals and the Christmas party for December.

Some general business was talked about as well. AMS student membership was once again pushed, and the student volunteers to the 85th AMS Conference were congratulated. All members were formally informed about our 2003-2004 Student Chapter of the Year award. Also past officers Paul Roller and Morgan Gallagher were special guests to this meeting, and were thanked for there hard work for the pervious year.

Our very own Dr. Larry Carey spoke on his studies in mesoscale forecasting and his studies in the field. He also spoke about the job market for up coming graduating students in today's world.

After our speaker, the members were release for pizza and social time up to the 12th floor.---Roger Gass.


TWIN CITIES

The November 2004 meeting of the Twin Cities chapter of the American Meteorological Society was called to order on November 16, 2004, at the Twin Cities WFO.

President Rich mentioned the Eden Prairie Science Fest at the end of January as an event at which we could make our presence as part of our push to become more visible in the meteorological and science community.

To topic of the evening was climate services in the NWS. The creator of the presentation, Steve Buan from the Twin Cities WFO, was away on business; meteorologist-in-charge Craig Edwards presented. He spoke about the past, present, and future of climate services in the National Weather Service. He ended the talk with a discussion about the evolution of long-range outlooks, including the current seasonal outlook and its dependence on the current phase and strength of El Nino.

The membership committee didn't get together, but some people expressed interest and had some interesting ideas. We will get together in the next few months.

The next meeting will be a tour of the KSTP Weather Center on December 14, 2004.---Chris Bovitz.


UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS

KU's last chapter meeting was October 7th.

We discussed fundraising ideas, and logo ideas to put on items such as umbrellas, ice scrappers, etc..

We also discussed ideas for a club t-shirt, social activities and what to put in our display cases in Lindley Hall.

Interesting fact: there are currently 85 atmo majors at KU.


The University of Kansas Student Chapter of AMS had its last meeting October 20th.

Meeting Minutes:
  1. We discussed dues for being a member of KUAMS. The dues are $10 and can be given to an officer or Karen Ward in the Geography office.

  2. Any other t-shirt ideas are welcome and can be emailed to Darin Brunin (President) or given to any officer. We will be putting ideas up in the weather lab for everyone to see, and we will be deciding soon on what the t-shirt will look like.

  3. We are still looking for more fundraising ideas. And we would like to start fundraising as soon as possible.

  4. We are scheduling a speaker with in the next couple of weeks from the NWS to talk about the NWS and the business he owns.

  5. Deadline to turn in entries for the First Snowfall contest is over. And now we will just have to wait and see who the winner is.

  6. We took pictures of those who were at the meeting for our departmental picture gallery. We will also be doing this at the next meeting or if you are unable to attend and would like to be in the picture gallery let an officer know so arrangements can be made outside of an AMS meeting.

  7. Be watching for an e-mail when the next KUAMS meeting will be and when the speaker from the NWS will be coming.---Ashley VanAsdale.



UNIVERSITY OF UTAH

Meeting Minutes
Tuesday, November 11, 2004
3:30 P.M. INSCC 490

*Our T-shirts for this year are ready and look great! These were distributed to all members in attendance. There are some extra shirts still available for $10. Dan Zumpfe has them in INSCC 480.

*Erik Crosman gave an update on Educational Outreach for this semester and encouraged people to sign up for other outreach opportunities that will be available next semester.

*Snow came to the Salt Lake Valley on Oct. 31 but managed to avoid the official measuring site at the SLC intl. airport, therefore the "1st snowfall" contest is still ongoing.

*Volunteers were requested for help in setting up this year's photography contest. Proceeds from this event go toward the American Red Cross fund.

*Upcoming events:
-Saturday, Nov. 13 -- Ice Skating @ the Olympic Oval in Kearns, UT
-Wednesday, Dec. 8 -- Ron Mcpherson will speak to us
-Thursday, Dec. 9 -- Last day of class, pizza and movie---Maura Hahnenberger.


 



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Phone: 617-227-2425; Fax: 617-742-8718